Payne College Football Power Ratings

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2019 UCF Team Predictions

Considers games played through 10/12/2019

Actuals:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor ScoreHomeScore
08/29 Win 62FLORIDA A&M0UCF62
09/07 Win 34UCF48FLA ATLANTIC14
09/14 Win 18STANFORD27UCF45
09/21 Loss 1UCF34PITTSBURGH35
09/28 Win 35CONNECTICUT21UCF56
10/04 Loss 3UCF24CINCINNATI27
Record (4-2)

Predictions:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor HomePWin
10/19 Win 21.08EAST CAROLINAUCF91.0%
10/26 Win 1.67UCFTEMPLE54.2%
11/02 Win 16.17HOUSTONUCF84.8%
11/08 Win 8.62UCFTULSA70.8%
11/23 Loss 3.05UCFTULANE42.3%
11/29 Win 17.55SO FLORIDAUCF86.8%

Predicted Season Record (Boolean Model) 9 - 3
Predicted Season Record (Probability Model) 8.3 - 3.7
Probability of Undefeated Season 0%