Payne College Football Power Ratings

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2019 TOLEDO Team Predictions

Considers games played through 10/12/2019

Actuals:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor ScoreHomeScore
08/31 Loss 14TOLEDO24KENTUCKY38
09/14 Win 45MURRAY STATE0TOLEDO45
09/21 Win 6TOLEDO41COLORADO STATE35
09/28 Win 7BYU21TOLEDO28
10/05 Win 7WESTERN MICH24TOLEDO31
10/12 Loss 13TOLEDO7BOWLING GREEN20
Record (4-2)

Predictions:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor HomePWin
10/19 Loss 0.27TOLEDOBALL STATE49.3%
10/26 Win 10.54EASTERN MICHTOLEDO74.9%
11/05 Win 5.01KENT STATETOLEDO62.5%
11/13 Win 13.97NORTHERN ILLTOLEDO81.3%
11/20 Win 3.15TOLEDOBUFFALO57.9%
11/29 Win 0.83TOLEDOCENTRAL MICH52.1%

Predicted Season Record (Boolean Model) 9 - 3
Predicted Season Record (Probability Model) 7.8 - 4.2
Probability of Undefeated Season 0%