Payne College Football Power Ratings

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2019 SMU Team Predictions

Considers games played through 10/12/2019

Actuals:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor ScoreHomeScore
08/31 Win 7SMU37ARKANSAS STATE30
09/07 Win 22NORTH TEXAS27SMU49
09/14 Win 30TEXAS STATE17SMU47
09/21 Win 3SMU41TCU38
09/28 Win 27SMU48SO FLORIDA21
10/05 Win 6TULSA37SMU43
Record (6-0)

Predictions:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor HomePWin
10/19 Win 12.13TEMPLESMU78.0%
10/24 Win 14.64SMUHOUSTON82.4%
11/02 Win 1.75SMUMEMPHIS54.4%
11/09 Win 25.55EAST CAROLINASMU94.8%
11/23 Win 1.07SMUNAVY52.7%
11/30 Win 7.41TULANESMU68.1%

Predicted Season Record (Boolean Model) 12 - 0
Predicted Season Record (Probability Model) 10.3 - 1.7
Probability of Undefeated Season 11.91133%