Payne College Football Power Ratings

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2019 NORTH CAROLINA Team Predictions

Considers games played through 10/12/2019

Actuals:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor ScoreHomeScore
08/31 Win 4SO CAROLINA20NORTH CAROLINA24
09/07 Win 3MIAMI-FLORIDA25NORTH CAROLINA28
09/13 Loss 6NORTH CAROLINA18WAKE FOREST24
09/21 Loss 3APPALACHIAN ST34NORTH CAROLINA31
09/28 Loss 1CLEMSON21NORTH CAROLINA20
10/05 Win 16NORTH CAROLINA38GEORGIA TECH22
Record (3-3)

Predictions:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor HomePWin
10/19 Win 7.86NORTH CAROLINAVIRGINIA TECH69.2%
10/26 Win 4.17DUKENORTH CAROLINA60.5%
11/02 Win 3.98VIRGINIANORTH CAROLINA60.0%
11/14 Loss 2.20NORTH CAROLINAPITTSBURGH44.4%
11/23 Win 38.69MERCERNORTH CAROLINA99.3%
11/30 Win 1.26NORTH CAROLINANC STATE53.2%

Predicted Season Record (Boolean Model) 8 - 4
Predicted Season Record (Probability Model) 6.9 - 5.1
Probability of Undefeated Season 0%