Payne College Football Power Ratings

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2019 FRESNO STATE Team Predictions

Based on 2019 Preseason Ratings

Actuals:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor ScoreHomeScore
Record (0-0)

Predictions:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor HomePWin
08/31 Loss 2.03FRESNO STATEUSC44.9%
09/07 Win 7.66MINNESOTAFRESNO STATE68.7%
09/21 Win 41.18SACRAMENTO STATEFRESNO STATE99.6%
09/28 Win 28.64FRESNO STATENEW MEXICO ST96.6%
10/12 Win 9.20FRESNO STATEAIR FORCE72.1%
10/18 Win 27.64UNLVFRESNO STATE96.1%
10/26 Win 28.41COLORADO STATEFRESNO STATE96.5%
11/02 Win 18.22FRESNO STATEHAWAII87.7%
11/09 Win 1.62UTAH STATEFRESNO STATE54.1%
11/15 Win 12.97FRESNO STATESAN DIEGO ST79.5%
11/23 Win 16.06NEVADAFRESNO STATE84.7%
11/30 Win 24.79FRESNO STATESAN JOSE ST94.3%

Predicted Season Record (Boolean Model) 11 - 1
Predicted Season Record (Probability Model) 9.7 - 2.3
Probability of Undefeated Season 5.95906%