Payne College Football Power Ratings

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2019 ARMY Team Predictions

Considers games played through 10/12/2019

Actuals:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor ScoreHomeScore
08/30 Win 7RICE7ARMY14
09/07 Loss 3ARMY21MICHIGAN24
09/14 Win 18ARMY31TX-SAN ANTONIO13
09/21 Win 31MORGAN STATE21ARMY52
10/05 Loss 9TULANE42ARMY33
10/12 Loss 9ARMY8WESTERN KY17
Record (3-3)

Predictions:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor HomePWin
10/19 Loss 2.71ARMYGEORGIA STATE43.2%
10/26 Win 7.49SAN JOSE STARMY68.3%
11/02 Loss 12.29ARMYAIR FORCE21.7%
11/09 Win 30.78MASSACHUSETTSARMY97.5%
11/16 Win 29.64VMIARMY97.0%
12/01 Loss 10.56ARMYHAWAII25.1%
12/14 Loss 13.72ARMYNAVY19.1%

Predicted Season Record (Boolean Model) 6 - 7
Predicted Season Record (Probability Model) 6.7 - 6.3
Probability of Undefeated Season 0%