Payne College Football Power Ratings

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2019 ARKANSAS STATE Team Predictions

Considers games played through 10/12/2019

Actuals:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor ScoreHomeScore
08/31 Loss 7SMU37ARKANSAS STATE30
09/07 Win 26ARKANSAS STATE43UNLV17
09/14 Loss 55ARKANSAS STATE0GEORGIA55
09/21 Win 13S ILLINOIS28ARKANSAS STATE41
09/28 Win 7ARKANSAS STATE50TROY43
10/05 Loss 14ARKANSAS STATE38GEORGIA STATE52
Record (3-3)

Predictions:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor HomePWin
10/17 Loss 6.93LOUISIANAARKANSAS STATE33.0%
10/26 Win 7.67TEXAS STATEARKANSAS STATE68.7%
11/02 Loss 2.40ARKANSAS STATEULM43.9%
11/16 Win 5.58COASTAL CAROLINAARKANSAS STATE63.9%
11/23 Win 5.38GA SOUTHERNARKANSAS STATE63.4%
11/30 Win 9.35ARKANSAS STATESOUTH ALABAMA72.4%

Predicted Season Record (Boolean Model) 7 - 5
Predicted Season Record (Probability Model) 6.5 - 5.5
Probability of Undefeated Season 0%