Payne College Football Power Ratings
Current Ratings · Explanation · All Predictions · Email me
Help keep the Payne Ratings ad free. Thanks for your support!
Based on 2019 Preseason Ratings
| Game Day | Outcome | By | Visitor | Score | Home | Score |
|---|
| Game Day | Outcome | By | Visitor | Home | PWin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Win | 5.56 | SMU | ARKANSAS STATE | 63.8% |
| 09/07 | Win | 7.99 | ARKANSAS STATE | UNLV | 69.4% |
| 09/14 | Loss | 31.65 | ARKANSAS STATE | GEORGIA | 2.2% |
| 09/21 | Win | 27.56 | S ILLINOIS | ARKANSAS STATE | 96.0% |
| 09/28 | Loss | 7.62 | ARKANSAS STATE | TROY | 31.4% |
| 10/05 | Win | 11.40 | ARKANSAS STATE | GEORGIA STATE | 76.6% |
| 10/17 | Win | 6.59 | LOUISIANA | ARKANSAS STATE | 66.2% |
| 10/26 | Win | 16.50 | TEXAS STATE | ARKANSAS STATE | 85.3% |
| 11/02 | Win | 5.10 | ARKANSAS STATE | ULM | 62.7% |
| 11/16 | Win | 11.71 | COASTAL CAROLINA | ARKANSAS STATE | 77.2% |
| 11/23 | Win | 0.05 | GA SOUTHERN | ARKANSAS STATE | 50.1% |
| 11/30 | Win | 13.12 | ARKANSAS STATE | SOUTH ALABAMA | 79.8% |
| Predicted Season Record (Boolean Model) | 10 - 2 |
|---|---|
| Predicted Season Record (Probability Model) | 7.6 - 4.4 |
| Probability of Undefeated Season | 0.02466% |