Payne College Football Power Ratings

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2019 ARKANSAS STATE Team Predictions

Based on 2019 Preseason Ratings

Actuals:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor ScoreHomeScore
Record (0-0)

Predictions:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor HomePWin
08/31 Win 5.56SMUARKANSAS STATE63.8%
09/07 Win 7.99ARKANSAS STATEUNLV69.4%
09/14 Loss 31.65ARKANSAS STATEGEORGIA2.2%
09/21 Win 27.56S ILLINOISARKANSAS STATE96.0%
09/28 Loss 7.62ARKANSAS STATETROY31.4%
10/05 Win 11.40ARKANSAS STATEGEORGIA STATE76.6%
10/17 Win 6.59LOUISIANAARKANSAS STATE66.2%
10/26 Win 16.50TEXAS STATEARKANSAS STATE85.3%
11/02 Win 5.10ARKANSAS STATEULM62.7%
11/16 Win 11.71COASTAL CAROLINAARKANSAS STATE77.2%
11/23 Win 0.05GA SOUTHERNARKANSAS STATE50.1%
11/30 Win 13.12ARKANSAS STATESOUTH ALABAMA79.8%

Predicted Season Record (Boolean Model) 10 - 2
Predicted Season Record (Probability Model) 7.6 - 4.4
Probability of Undefeated Season 0.02466%